Archive | May, 2011

Preakness 2011 ~ handicapping picks for tomorrows race

20 May

Tomorrow is the Preakness which is the second leg of the Triple Crown.  I have done my homework and loaded the stats into the EOTH (Eye of the Horse).  Here are the results: 

THE EYE OF THE HORSE    
Race:

12

Preakness    
Track:   Pimlico Race Track  
         

Horse name

PP

M Line

EOTH score

Comments

Mucho Macho Man

9

6-1

                      96.53

Tri/Super

Animal Kingdom

11

2-1

                      96.02

Tri/Super

Shackleford

5

12-1

                      93.97

Tri/Super

Dialed In

10

6-1

                      93.36

Tri/Super

Mr. Commons

14

20-1

                      91.20

only 2 race history

King Congie

3

20-1

                      89.99

Value pick

 I like King Congie as my value pick providing that he stays above 10-1 odds.  I think I will ladder a W/P/S bet favoring a Show.  My fear with him though is that a new jockey who never rode him before is holding the reigns.  I also like Mucho Macho Man but feel he may get extra bets based on the unfortunate death of Macho Man Randy Savage.  Also, Animal Kingdom is great, however, the odds aren’t there to make a sole bet on him.

 I am also going to box a .10 Super with the top four horses just for the heck of it, hey why not.  You’re getting the top four horses in a 2.40 bet!

 Keep an eye out for Sway Away and Astrology.  They might be a great play also.  Have fun and good luck!

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My 2011 Kentucky Derby picks ~ Go Soldat!

6 May

2 more days til the 2011 Kentucky Derby!!

 

I am very excited and have ran the #’s with the proprietary Horse Helper for theDerby.  I cannot tell you the formulas because they are my secret, however, remember “numbers don’t lie”!!

 Here is a snapshot of the top 6 horses:

Horse name                      PP             M Line             HH score

Soldat                                    17                12/1                  297.99

Dialed In                                8                  4/1                   297.89

Uncle Mo                             18                  9/2                   294.99

Mucho Macho Man            13                 12/1                  285.16

Archarcharch                        1                 10/1                  284.26

Animal Kingdom                 16                 30/1                  281.22

 I like Soldat to win it all and his morning line of 12-1 is sitting real pretty with me.  I also like either an exacta box for the top 2 (there is a 9.83 difference between the third and fourth horses).  Another plan is to try a .20 Superfecta on the top four.   

 I love Animal Kingdom as a value pick.  The fact that he is 30-1 speaks volumes.  If this line holds up you are getting awesome value for a horse that could definitely place within the top 3.  I may place a bet on him to either Show or Place for better odds of hitting.

 Link to free past performances for 2011 Kentucky Derby:

 http://www.brisnet.com/bris_link/pdfs/toddpletcher_249621.pdf

Disclaimer:  The above are not recommendations but merely for entertainment purposes only.  Use your own judgement and never place a bet with money you cannot afford to lose.  The owner of this blog is not responsible for any money lost in wagering on the above ideas.