My 2011 Kentucky Derby picks ~ Go Soldat!

6 May

2 more days til the 2011 Kentucky Derby!!

 

I am very excited and have ran the #’s with the proprietary Horse Helper for theDerby.  I cannot tell you the formulas because they are my secret, however, remember “numbers don’t lie”!!

 Here is a snapshot of the top 6 horses:

Horse name                      PP             M Line             HH score

Soldat                                    17                12/1                  297.99

Dialed In                                8                  4/1                   297.89

Uncle Mo                             18                  9/2                   294.99

Mucho Macho Man            13                 12/1                  285.16

Archarcharch                        1                 10/1                  284.26

Animal Kingdom                 16                 30/1                  281.22

 I like Soldat to win it all and his morning line of 12-1 is sitting real pretty with me.  I also like either an exacta box for the top 2 (there is a 9.83 difference between the third and fourth horses).  Another plan is to try a .20 Superfecta on the top four.   

 I love Animal Kingdom as a value pick.  The fact that he is 30-1 speaks volumes.  If this line holds up you are getting awesome value for a horse that could definitely place within the top 3.  I may place a bet on him to either Show or Place for better odds of hitting.

 Link to free past performances for 2011 Kentucky Derby:

 http://www.brisnet.com/bris_link/pdfs/toddpletcher_249621.pdf

Disclaimer:  The above are not recommendations but merely for entertainment purposes only.  Use your own judgement and never place a bet with money you cannot afford to lose.  The owner of this blog is not responsible for any money lost in wagering on the above ideas.

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One Response to “My 2011 Kentucky Derby picks ~ Go Soldat!”

  1. pokerexpress May 9, 2011 at 10:39 am #

    Woot woot – Animal Kingdom was the winner, Nehro in 2nd, and Mucho Macho Man 3rd. Was a victory, however, I only had him to Show so didn’t win as much as I could have. Next time I get a value like this I will bet to W/P/S. Next stop, Pimlico Race Course!

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