Tag Archives: sports betting

Week 13 NFL bets

27 Nov

Happy Thanksgiving!  We are now 18-14-1 on the year.   I have three picks this week, one of which is on Thanksgiving day.  I wanted to play all three Thanksgiving games so I added the other two even though they are out of my betting thresh hold.  I wanted to have some more fun watching the games… Good luck!

 

Week 13

Spread diff TOTAL OFF SCORE Spread diff TOTAL OFF SCORE Vegas spread
Oakland Raiders      10.48        28.97 Dallas Cowboys             –      11.58 -9
Chicago Bears        6.75        41.23 Minnesota Vikings             –        2.48 -1
New England Patriots           –        14.76 Houston Texans         7.12      (4.66) 9
Arizona Cardinals           –       (14.65) Philadelphia Eagles         5.32      16.95 -3
Green Bay Packers        1.97        20.09 Detroit Lions             –      30.24 -6
Pittsburgh Steelers           –       (20.59) Baltimore Ravens         3.34        1.08 -3

 

Disclaimer:   Past results do not necessarily predict future results.  The system as explained above uses a system of sports statistics to analyze team data and compare the results.  The system in no way is expected to guarantee results or even yield a winning percentage.  You should only place bets with money that you can expect to lose.  All information herein is for entertainment purposes only.

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Week 12 NFL bets

21 Nov

Finally hit a trio!  Went 3-0-0 last week to make the total 16-14-1.  Back above .500 and hopefully climbing.  Also hit the 3 bet parlay on the same three teams last week adding to the winning totals.  I am now almost back to even for the year.  There are only 2 bets this week so I have played a teaser on them as well taking 6 points off the spread in each game.  Good luck!

Week 11 Spread diff TOTAL OFF SCORE Spread diff TOTAL OFF SCORE Vegas spread
Tampa Bay Buccaneers        6.16         (9.92) Detroit Lions             –        1.80 -10.5
Carolina Panthers        5.51        13.70 Miami Dolphins             –     (46.33) 4.5

 

 

Disclaimer:   Past results do not necessarily predict future results.  The system as explained above uses a system of sports statistics to analyze team data and compare the results.  The system in no way is expected to guarantee results or even yield a winning percentage.  You should only place bets with money that you can expect to lose.  All information herein is for entertainment purposes only.

Week 11 NFL bets

14 Nov

The total win-loss-tie ratio is 13-14-1.  We are almost at break even for the season with 7 weeks to go until the playoffs.  We need a little bit of a run to get back up to the last 2 seasons 60% win ratio.  Good luck!

Week 11 Spread diff TOTAL OFF SCORE Spread diff TOTAL OFF SCORE Vegas spread
Washington Redskins           –          6.66 Philadelphia Eagles         7.06      49.46 -3.5
New England Patriots           –       (29.13) Carolina Panthers         6.76      (0.35) -1
Atlanta Falcons           –       (12.39) Tampa Bay Buccaneers         7.02        5.21 1.5

 

Disclaimer:   Past results do not necessarily predict future results.  The system as explained above uses a system of sports statistics to analyze team data and compare the results.  The system in no way is expected to guarantee results or even yield a winning percentage.  You should only place bets with money that you can expect to lose.  All information herein is for entertainment purposes only.

NFL Week 10 bets

7 Nov

Okay, so now we are under water this season so far, a total of 11-13-1 on the season.  My guess is the difficulty in handicapping all of the QB starts this year.  Usually, I deduct points from the team that starts a backup QB.  Also, most teams this year are showing no consistency in their play.  They win one week and lose the next.  With that said, I am still plugging away trying to make a run to some $.  I missed the post from Week 8 and went 1-2 and Week 9 only had one pick which I did not bet (and wouldve won).  Here are the picks for week 10:

Week 10 Spread diff TOTAL OFF SCORE Spread diff TOTAL OFF SCORE Vegas spread
Philadelphia Eagles        9.99        47.51 Green Bay Packers             –      22.56 -1
Buffalo Bills        8.43        16.75 Pittsburgh Steelers             –     (12.89) -3.5
Carolina Panthers        8.50          5.54 San Francisco 49ers             –     (11.96) -6

 

Disclaimer:   Past results do not necessarily predict future results.  The system as explained above uses a system of sports statistics to analyze team data and compare the results.  The system in no way is expected to guarantee results or even yield a winning percentage.  You should only place bets with money that you can expect to lose.  All information herein is for entertainment purposes only.

Belmont Stakes 2011 race day

10 Jun

Tomorrow is the 143rd running of the Belmont Stakes.  I have done some handicapping from the 6th race through the 11th and will share my thoughts below on which horses I think can put some cash in your pocket.  Please review the disclaimer below and most important enjoy race day!

Race 6

I like Turbulent Descent and Snow Fall in an exacta box.  My worry is that Snow Fall only has two races above 6 furlongs in its history so this is a risky play, however, the speed on the last two races and the 8-1 morning line definitely makes it a worthwhile bet.

Race 7

I love Frazil for an across the board (W/P/S) laddered with the majority of the money on the Show, i.e. W $2, P $3, S $5.  If he stays close the morning line odds at 15-1, this will be an excellent value pick.  I also will think about taking Trappe Shot and Calibrachoa in an exacta box.

Race 8

Take an across the board on J J’s Lucky Train with the emphasis on the win.  Derivative may be a nice long shot play as he is a clocker special according to DRF (Daily racing form).

Race 9

I am all over Cherokee Queen for a W/P/S bet with emphasis on Show.  Or a large W bet.  At 8-1 morning line odds he is showing up in my analysis as the stand out favorite.  He also was a clocker special.  Take him across the board if you have a weak stomach.  Also consider taking the favorites Aviate and Fantasia in an exacta.

Race 10

Another across the board is a good bet on Windward Islands.  He stands out as the #2 horse based on my analysis and at a morning line of 8-1 if it holds up, holds great value.  In his last 5 races at a distance of 1 mile and up, he placed 1st twice, second once, and third twice.  If the line creeps up further, increase your bet dollar for dollar above 8-1!

Race 11

Finally the Belmont Stakes.  I don’t think Shackleford will have enough juice to front run and take the Belmont like he did the Preakness.  I expect Animal Kingdom to have enough distance after the turn to catch him and beat him handily to become horse of the year.  The bad news is he will pay crap, so we gotta exacta or trifecta him somehow.  Take Animal Kingdom 1st, Nehro and Shackleford 2nd, and Mucho Macho Man, Brilliant Speed, and Santiva 3rd.  On a $2 bet that is only $12.  I also like Brilliant Speed as a value play to Place or Show. 

Good luck at the races!  I have my Blue Lagoon drinks ready to roll (look up the recipe they’re absolutely delicious) and money ready in my account…

 

Disclaimer:  The above are not recommendations but merely for entertainment purposes only.  Use your own judgement and never place a bet with money you cannot afford to lose.  The owner of this blog is not responsible for any money lost in wagering on the above ideas.

 

NBA picks Weds, Feb 16th

16 Feb

Here are today’s picks for pbS thus far and three potentials if the spreads change:

Take Boston over NJ at home minus 10.5 as Boston’s advantage is 19.68 pts!

Ride Denver away over Milwaukee with 1.5 points.  Denver adv is 1.45.

Watch spreads on:

If Lakers at Cleveland spread falls to from Lakers -11 to -10 or less.  Take Lakers.

If the spread on New York at home versus Atlanta spread falls from -2.5 to -1.5 or less, take New York.

If Portland at home spread over New Orleans goes to from -5.5 to -6.5 or more, take New Orleans with the points.

Disclaimer:   Past results do not necessarily predict future results.  The system as explained above uses a system of sports statistics to analyze team data and compare the results.  The system in no way is expected to guarantee results or even yield a winning percentage.  You should only place bets with money that you can expect to lose.  All information herein is for entertainment purposes only.

NBA picks Mon, Feb 14th

15 Feb

Happy V-day all.  Just because it is v-day doesnt mean we still can’t sneak a bet here and there.  There is only 1 pbS bet tonight:

Take San Antonio over New Jersey minus 8 points!  San Antonio’s advantage is 13.58!

Disclaimer:   Past results do not necessarily predict future results.  The system as explained above uses a system of sports statistics to analyze team data and compare the results.  The system in no way is expected to guarantee results or even yield a winning percentage.  You should only place bets with money that you can expect to lose.  All information herein is for entertainment purposes only.